Dortmund - FC Bayern

Germany: Bundesliga
Dortmund J. Brandt (5), E. Haaland (48)
Signal-Iduna-ParkFull time2-3
FC Bayern R. Lewandowski (9), K. Coman (44), R. Lewandowski (Pen. 77)

Matthäus on mega-match: "If both Kimmich and Goretzka are out, I doubt Bayern will win."

By Peter Vice

At a press event for Sky Germany, Lothar Matthäus pointed to some statistics that could offer Borussia Dortmund some hope this weekend in their showdown with league leaders FC Bayern München.

Lothar Matthäus.
Lothar Matthäus.Photo: Steffen Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0

When it comes to this weekend's mega-match between the two winners of the last 11 Bundesliga titles, opinion remains divided among the Bulinews staff as to what the outcome will be. Some fear that the record champions are simply too strong and the match might not be competitive. Others present a reasonable case that the BVB can pull off the upset. Still others point to some of the recent FCB disappointments to argue that Dortmund could even pull off a heavy upset.

For those hoping to see Dortmund take the three points and finish the weekend at the top of the table, German footballing legend Lothar Matthäus imparted some encouraging news on Thursday. Speaking at a Sky Germany press event, the German national team hero turned commentator pointed out that Joshua Kimmich's absence might prove decisive.

Matthäus pointed out that Bayern have a 78.9 percent win rate with Kimmich in the lineup. Without the currently quarantined midfielder, the FCB win-rate drops to 64.3 percent. Even more strikingly, Bayern score 3.2 times per game (18.8 shots on target) with Kimmich and only 2.2 times per game game (14.6 shots on target) when the 26-year-old is not on the pitch.

As pertains to the match some refer to as "Der Klassiker", taking Kimmich out of the equation obviously doesn't translate to automatic success for the underdogs. In point of fact, Bayern lost Kimmich in last autumn in the 2020 "His-runde" of "Der Klassiker" and still managed to win convincingly.

Something that does nevertheless afford Dortmund significant hope of winning concerns the potential absence of Kimmich's midfield partner Leon Goretzka. Matthäus brought this up as well, even going so far as to say that the loss of both actors could tip the scales.

"If Kimmich and Goretzka are out, I doubt that Bayern will win," Matthäus noted, "The central midfield is the heart of the music."

1Gregor Kobel
24Thomas Meunier
16Manuel Akanji
15Mats Hummels
13Raphaël Guerreiro ↪82
23Emre Can
19Julian Brandt ↪69
8Mahmoud Dahoud ↪60
22Jude Bellingham
9Erling Haaland ↪82
11Marco Reus (C)
35Marwin Hitz
21Donyell Malen ↩60
27Steffen Tigges ↩82
5Dan-Axel Zagadou
14Nico Schulz ↩82
34Marin Pongracic
28Axel Witsel
39Marius Wolf ↩69
FC Bayern
1Manuel Neuer (C)
5Benjamin Pavard
2Dayotchanculle Upamecano
21Lucas Hernández ↪74
19Alphonso Davies
8Leon Goretzka ↪65
24Corentin Tolisso
11Kingsley Coman ↪88
25Thomas Müller
10Leroy Sané ↪65
9Robert Lewandowski
36Christian Früchtl
7Serge Gnabry ↩65
40Malik Tillman
3Omar Richards
4Niklas Süle ↩74
23Tanguy Nianzou ↩88
22Marc Roca
42Jamal Musiala ↩65

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